UADC-2011 post Break analysis

As the UADC breaks have come out, here they are: (courtesy Faiz)

1) 8-0 - NUS-1
2) 7-1 - DLSU-1
3) 7-1 - SMU-1
4) 6-2 - ADMU-1
5) 6-2 - NUS-2
6) 6-2 - UPD-2
7) 6-2 - UPD-1
8) 6-2 - KU-2
9) 6-2 - UTMARA-1
10) 6-2 - ADMU-2
11) 6-2 - IIUM-1
12) 6-2 - CFS-1
13) 6-2 - UTMARA-3
14) 6-2 - NTU-1
15) 6-2 - RVCE-1
16) 5-3 - UPM-1
17) 5-3 - ADMU-3
18) 5-3 - DLSU-2
19) 5-3 - UCTI-1
20) 5-3 - NTU-3
21) 5-3 - UTMARA-2
22) 5-3 - FOLC-1
23) 5-3 - UPD-3
24) 5-3 - UM-1

Analysis:

Win-Loss Record:
8-0 - 1 team
7-1 - 2 teams
6-2 - 12 teams
5-3 - 9 teams

which compares with the expected result (from the previous post) of:

8-0 - 0 - 1 team
7-1 - 3-4 teams
6-2 - 11-12 teams
5-3 - 8-10 teams

I am trying to figure out the discrepency with the 7-1 bracket, but given the size of those brackets and also considering how the brackets become odd numbered as early as R2, I think a +/- 1 difference should be acceptable.

Institutions:
ADMU - 3
UPD - 3
UTMARA - 3
NTU - 2
DLSU - 2
NUS - 2
SMU - 1
KU - 1
IIUM - 1
CFS - 1
RVCE - 1
UPM - 1
UCTI - 1
FOLC - 1
UM - 1

Institution Diversity this time is slightly lower than last year - 15 institutions this year vs 16 institutions last year.

The biggest changes are UTMARA and University of the Philippines Diliman (UPD), which broke 3 teams this year vs only 1 last year. Institutions which broke more than 1 team last year continue to break more than 1 team this year as well, with UPD joining the previous 5 institutions that broke more than 1 team. NUS broke 4 teams last year (1 got capped out), broke only 2 this year.

New institutions that did not break teams last year are CFS, UCTI, UM, SMU and KU. 3 of these Institutions are Malaysian. Institutions which dropped out of the breaking list from last year are NLS India, Mahidol Uni, UST (philippines), Delhi Uni., IIT Bombay and EDiS. As evident, 3 of the 6 institutions that didnt continue their break this year are from India. The overall trend is that of a resurgence in Malaysian teams at the cost of Indian teams.

Among the new breaking institutions, SMU had the best performance, going from non-break last year to rank #3 this year. However, they have lost to NTU-1 in the octos, while their rank would've seeded them for a semi-finals against DLSU-1 (rank 2).

Country-wise:

Philippines - 9
Malaysia - 7
Singapore - 5
Korea - 1
India - 1
Sri Lanka - 1

Compared with Last year:


The most obvious change is the resurgence of Malaysia and the recession of India. The others are in almost the exact same position as last year (except for Thailand which didn't break a team this year).